It
is for very good reasons that the state decided to brand
the private sector as the engine of growth, and within
this short period of time, they have lived up to their
expectations. Production is on a steady rise. Vast sums
of money have been spent to improve field and factory
technology. The accomplishment of the field technology
so far practised has assured a steady growth rate on
the production front. Improvements to factory technology
will ensure the continued production of a quality product.
A more dynamic approach to the prevailing marketing
structure is taking place with emphasis on value addition.
All seems well
for the tea industry, but it must not be forgotten that
tea is an internationally traded commodity, and the
future of the tea industry depends to a great extent
on factors that may not be visible on the outer surface
in the international arena, but factors that will affect
the marketing of our teas.
One cannot expect
radical changes to take place overnight, but with the
vast developments taking place in the field of communication,
the old age marketing systems could get a battering.
All this has to be studied in relation to the economic
order we are living in today. We cannot expect bread
to fall from heaven in the next century, and financial
markets to remain turbulent until the economies of the
major countries improve.
The Far East is
very much into a depression, and the West is slowly
but surely heading towards a recession. As we look into
this tangled outline of world affairs, all one can see
is a hazy picture, as though the world is suffering
from an epileptic fit. The world seems to be in disorder,
and vast changes are taking place in the world’s
major economics.
As for Sri Lanka,
we are caught up in an entanglement of international
repercussions, and our salvation depends on our ability
to disentangle ourselves from this web through our own
native resourcefulness.
When 1998 dawned,
the future of our agricultural products looked prosperous,
and ambitious plans were drawn up for its future stability.
Prospects looked absolutely bright, but the few months
of prosperity came to an abrupt end during the second
quarter. The Rouble crisis that was simmering for some
time boiled over in June. With this crisis all hopes
for the future were shuttered, and the tea producers
in particular were forced to view the events that were
going to unfold differently. In addition to sending
disturbing signals to the local tea trade, the world
financial markets that were already in a weak state
got into a spin.
The tea industry
struck a bad patch, from about June 1998 through to
the better part of 1999. The year 2000 was a favourable
year for the tea industry, but the tea prices had once
again started to dip. In addition, tea producers are
called upon to face wage hikes so very often. The labour
needs to be looked after, but a relationship must exist
between wages and productivity.
Costs are on a
steady rise, in all operational areas. In addition to
spiralling costs, the latest blow is the GST introduced
in 1998,which pushes the cost of production by almost
Rs, 2.00 per kilo. The GST currently in force has placed
further burdens on the industry and has caused a negative
impact on cost of production, as the Regional Plantation
Companies are unable to claim the GST charged on the
inputs.
The steady depreciation
of the local rupee in relation to our main trading currencies
made our teas appear very competitive in world market
but these prices could not however be matched with an
equivalent improvement in dollar terms. With all these
price increases in rupee terms, Sri Lanka has still
failed to reach the unite price of $ 2 with the total
average for our best seller, low grown moving up to
Rs. 158.23 in December last. It appears as though the
depreciation of the local rupee has failed to obtain
the desired results. Today, teas are available for less
than a dollar at the Colombo auctions.
The international
marketing configuration has changed considerably in
the recent past, and the rank order of our major buyers
is continually changing. From a fairly consistent order
that existed two decades ago, we are now encountering
a complete change to the profile that existed earlier.
Producers in Sri
Lanka are very sensitive to the slightest downward pressure
on tea prises at the market place. Our cost of production
is about the highest in the world; with the result our
local tea producers are working within narrow margins.
Although our tea prices are commanding exceptionally
good prices in relation to teas of other origins, the
current situation could drive most producers into financial
difficulties.
Trading has got
more diversified in the recent past, and under such
conditions' markets can get extremely flighty, resulting
in remarkable price discrepancies. Tea prices have now
reached depressed levels, but salvation is still possible
provided costs remain constant and productivity is made
to increase.
There is
however a silver lining to this dark cloud. According
to a FAO projection, the supply demand equations that
had been lop-sided during the past few years are expected
to correct itself over the next five years. World production
of tea is expected to increase by 3.1% by the year 2005
mainly due to higher yields. Tea consumption on the
other hand in the developing world is expected to outstrip
the intakes of the developed world and counted upon
to record a more than 3% increase. |